Survey Methodology Presentation

Gina Tedesco, Ekin Kizildas, Aurora Sterpellone

2025-03-19

📊 Introduction

★ Factors influencing public support for transgender rights across Europe

★ Both individual-level factors (such as demographics, religion, and ideology), and country-level variables, (including GDP, legal frameworks, and policy environments). → The role of education and healthcare in shaping public attitudes

★ Predictive model that can forecast future support levels

🔧 Data Handling

Data Sources

  • Special Eurobarometer 493 – (Public opinion data at the individual level)

  • UNESCO Edu Country Data 2019 – (Country-level education & economic indicators)

  • Trans Health Data

  • ILGA Data

First Imputation

Second Imputation

🔎🚶🏽‍♂️ Descriptive Analysis

Individual-Level

★ Educational Attainment

★ Gender and Regional Differences → Responses to key questions, such as Question 19

★ Attitudes Toward Diversity Education

Individual-Level

Gender (distribution for the whole survey)

Religion

Support for Transgender Rights by Region

Highest Education Level Reached Per Country

Distribution of responses to QC19 (by country & gender)

🔎🗺️ Descriptive Analysis

Country-Level

Health Variables

🎛️ Multicolinearity

Generalized linear mixed model fit by maximum likelihood (Laplace
  Approximation) [glmerMod]
 Family: binomial  ( logit )
Formula: transgender_civil_dc1 ~ gender + gender_squared + religion1 +  
    ideo1 + (1 | iso3c)
   Data: final_data
Control: glmerControl(optimizer = "bobyqa")

     AIC      BIC   logLik deviance df.resid 
 29272.5  29427.2 -14617.3  29234.5    25316 

Scaled residuals: 
    Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
-4.2817 -0.9233  0.4577  0.6965  2.1789 

Random effects:
 Groups Name        Variance Std.Dev.
 iso3c  (Intercept) 0.6227   0.7891  
Number of obs: 25335, groups:  iso3c, 26

Fixed effects:
                                  Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)    
(Intercept)                       0.024827   0.163353   0.152   0.8792    
gender                            0.418895   0.028914  14.488  < 2e-16 ***
religion1Orthodox Christian      -0.150637   0.069633  -2.163   0.0305 *  
religion1Protestant               0.115262   0.066855   1.724   0.0847 .  
religion1Other Christian         -0.180680   0.079069  -2.285   0.0223 *  
religion1Jewish                  -0.055046   0.323246  -0.170   0.8648    
religion1Muslim - Shia           -0.220529   0.250886  -0.879   0.3794    
religion1Muslim - Sunni          -0.260659   0.180209  -1.446   0.1481    
religion1Other Muslim             0.004387   0.195812   0.022   0.9821    
religion1Sikh                    -0.716754   0.850460  -0.843   0.3993    
religion1Buddhist                 0.083900   0.311026   0.270   0.7874    
religion1Hindu                   -0.438956   0.495811  -0.885   0.3760    
religion1Atheist                  0.521967   0.063496   8.221  < 2e-16 ***
religion1Non believer / Agnostic  0.417434   0.052903   7.890 3.01e-15 ***
religion1Other                    0.091508   0.075045   1.219   0.2227    
religion1Refusal                  0.274121   0.135920   2.017   0.0437 *  
religion1Don't Know              -0.060490   0.181530  -0.333   0.7390    
ideo1                             0.042402   0.014733   2.878   0.0040 ** 
---
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1

Correlation of Fixed Effects:
             (Intr) gender rlgn1OrC rlgn1P rlgn1OtC rlgn1J rlgn1Mslm-Sh
gender       -0.273                                                    
rlgn1OrthdC  -0.106 -0.009                                             
rlgn1Prtstn  -0.094  0.006  0.236                                      
rlgn1OthrCh  -0.070  0.010  0.216    0.278                             
relign1Jwsh  -0.014  0.007  0.030    0.039  0.029                      
rlgn1Mslm-Sh -0.022  0.016  0.073    0.046  0.037    0.008             
rlgn1Mslm-Sn -0.034  0.019  0.141    0.090  0.064    0.012  0.027      
rlgn1OthrMs  -0.030  0.011  0.143    0.067  0.054    0.011  0.025      
religin1Skh  -0.004  0.000  0.010    0.015  0.010    0.002  0.002      
rlgn1Bddhst  -0.016  0.012  0.028    0.041  0.029    0.009  0.009      
religin1Hnd  -0.013  0.017  0.025    0.031  0.022    0.003  0.005      
relgn1Athst  -0.091  0.070  0.208    0.264  0.193    0.034  0.049      
rlgn1Nnbl/A  -0.109  0.073  0.237    0.343  0.249    0.044  0.056      
relign1Othr  -0.071  0.023  0.203    0.242  0.187    0.029  0.039      
relign1Rfsl  -0.037  0.019  0.140    0.089  0.074    0.015  0.022      
rlgn1Dn'tKn  -0.030  0.005  0.118    0.094  0.081    0.010  0.018      
ideo1         0.010 -0.043 -0.003    0.017 -0.006    0.001  0.003      
             rlgn1Mslm-Sn rlg1OM rlgn1S rlgn1B rlgn1H rlgn1A r1Nb/A rlgn1O
gender                                                                    
rlgn1OrthdC                                                               
rlgn1Prtstn                                                               
rlgn1OthrCh                                                               
relign1Jwsh                                                               
rlgn1Mslm-Sh                                                              
rlgn1Mslm-Sn                                                              
rlgn1OthrMs   0.047                                                       
religin1Skh   0.002        0.003                                          
rlgn1Bddhst   0.012        0.011  0.003                                   
religin1Hnd   0.009        0.006  0.004  0.005                            
relgn1Athst   0.076        0.066  0.012  0.038  0.024                     
rlgn1Nnbl/A   0.089        0.073  0.016  0.047  0.031  0.284              
relign1Othr   0.064        0.056  0.012  0.031  0.022  0.196  0.246       
relign1Rfsl   0.040        0.041  0.007  0.017  0.009  0.082  0.100  0.075
rlgn1Dn'tKn   0.035        0.034  0.004  0.010  0.010  0.076  0.094  0.072
ideo1        -0.005       -0.034  0.007  0.014 -0.001  0.018  0.006  0.004
             rlgn1R rl1D'K
gender                    
rlgn1OrthdC               
rlgn1Prtstn               
rlgn1OthrCh               
relign1Jwsh               
rlgn1Mslm-Sh              
rlgn1Mslm-Sn              
rlgn1OthrMs               
religin1Skh               
rlgn1Bddhst               
religin1Hnd               
relgn1Athst               
rlgn1Nnbl/A               
relign1Othr               
relign1Rfsl               
rlgn1Dn'tKn   0.039       
ideo1        -0.087 -0.066
fit warnings:
fixed-effect model matrix is rank deficient so dropping 1 column / coefficient
18 x 18 Matrix of class "dpoMatrix"
                                   (Intercept)        gender
(Intercept)                       2.668423e-02 -1.290587e-03
gender                           -1.290587e-03  8.360230e-04
religion1Orthodox Christian      -1.209278e-03 -1.837730e-05
religion1Protestant              -1.025067e-03  1.164882e-05
religion1Other Christian         -9.075567e-04  2.334817e-05
religion1Jewish                  -7.486221e-04  6.737200e-05
religion1Muslim - Shia           -9.029567e-04  1.195554e-04
religion1Muslim - Sunni          -1.012179e-03  1.001576e-04
religion1Other Muslim            -9.453342e-04  6.365581e-05
religion1Sikh                    -5.110007e-04 -7.537056e-06
religion1Buddhist                -8.060091e-04  1.062955e-04
religion1Hindu                   -1.083186e-03  2.412391e-04
religion1Atheist                 -9.462150e-04  1.288801e-04
religion1Non believer / Agnostic -9.406828e-04  1.114617e-04
religion1Other                   -8.718306e-04  4.944152e-05
religion1Refusal                 -8.254390e-04  7.406923e-05
religion1Don't Know              -8.988700e-04  2.772993e-05
ideo1                             2.360831e-05 -1.842414e-05
                                 religion1Orthodox Christian
(Intercept)                                    -1.209278e-03
gender                                         -1.837730e-05
religion1Orthodox Christian                     4.848733e-03
religion1Protestant                             1.099442e-03
religion1Other Christian                        1.188819e-03
religion1Jewish                                 6.712099e-04
religion1Muslim - Shia                          1.267110e-03
religion1Muslim - Sunni                         1.768889e-03
religion1Other Muslim                           1.952600e-03
religion1Sikh                                   5.766640e-04
religion1Buddhist                               6.127629e-04
religion1Hindu                                  8.775743e-04
religion1Atheist                                9.177179e-04
religion1Non believer / Agnostic                8.744549e-04
religion1Other                                  1.060585e-03
religion1Refusal                                1.321858e-03
religion1Don't Know                             1.491992e-03
ideo1                                          -2.613116e-06
                                 religion1Protestant religion1Other Christian
(Intercept)                            -1.025067e-03            -9.075567e-04
gender                                  1.164882e-05             2.334817e-05
religion1Orthodox Christian             1.099442e-03             1.188819e-03
religion1Protestant                     4.469605e-03             1.471236e-03
religion1Other Christian                1.471236e-03             6.251880e-03
religion1Jewish                         8.322914e-04             7.344286e-04
religion1Muslim - Shia                  7.721098e-04             7.300711e-04
religion1Muslim - Sunni                 1.085879e-03             9.170992e-04
religion1Other Muslim                   8.745028e-04             8.314230e-04
religion1Sikh                           8.547466e-04             6.786777e-04
religion1Buddhist                       8.480924e-04             7.214896e-04
religion1Hindu                          1.030764e-03             8.810583e-04
religion1Atheist                        1.119604e-03             9.688539e-04
religion1Non believer / Agnostic        1.211633e-03             1.041103e-03
religion1Other                          1.212247e-03             1.109525e-03
religion1Refusal                        8.126069e-04             7.930499e-04
religion1Don't Know                     1.134891e-03             1.163182e-03
ideo1                                   1.674916e-05            -6.954685e-06
                                 religion1Jewish religion1Muslim - Shia
(Intercept)                        -7.486221e-04          -9.029567e-04
gender                              6.737200e-05           1.195554e-04
religion1Orthodox Christian         6.712099e-04           1.267110e-03
religion1Protestant                 8.322914e-04           7.721098e-04
religion1Other Christian            7.344286e-04           7.300711e-04
religion1Jewish                     1.044881e-01           6.567633e-04
religion1Muslim - Shia              6.567633e-04           6.294399e-02
religion1Muslim - Sunni             7.187920e-04           1.220176e-03
religion1Other Muslim               6.817940e-04           1.216183e-03
religion1Sikh                       4.872847e-04           4.043711e-04
religion1Buddhist                   8.637481e-04           7.223453e-04
religion1Hindu                      5.161767e-04           6.798520e-04
religion1Atheist                    6.945729e-04           7.759079e-04
religion1Non believer / Agnostic    7.511355e-04           7.398566e-04
religion1Other                      7.138305e-04           7.308886e-04
religion1Refusal                    6.637271e-04           7.390844e-04
religion1Don't Know                 5.788801e-04           8.022707e-04
ideo1                               7.121455e-06           1.202809e-05
                                 religion1Muslim - Sunni religion1Other Muslim
(Intercept)                                -1.012179e-03         -9.453342e-04
gender                                      1.001576e-04          6.365581e-05
religion1Orthodox Christian                 1.768889e-03          1.952600e-03
religion1Protestant                         1.085879e-03          8.745028e-04
religion1Other Christian                    9.170992e-04          8.314230e-04
religion1Jewish                             7.187920e-04          6.817940e-04
religion1Muslim - Shia                      1.220176e-03          1.216183e-03
religion1Muslim - Sunni                     3.247529e-02          1.654579e-03
religion1Other Muslim                       1.654579e-03          3.834226e-02
religion1Sikh                               2.776258e-04          5.644319e-04
religion1Buddhist                           6.853696e-04          6.638144e-04
religion1Hindu                              7.646219e-04          6.097370e-04
religion1Atheist                            8.727778e-04          8.228972e-04
religion1Non believer / Agnostic            8.446907e-04          7.544010e-04
religion1Other                              8.668834e-04          8.235832e-04
religion1Refusal                            9.740554e-04          1.102097e-03
religion1Don't Know                         1.139738e-03          1.203917e-03
ideo1                                      -1.353575e-05         -9.863995e-05
                                 religion1Sikh religion1Buddhist religion1Hindu
(Intercept)                      -5.110007e-04     -8.060091e-04  -1.083186e-03
gender                           -7.537056e-06      1.062955e-04   2.412391e-04
religion1Orthodox Christian       5.766640e-04      6.127629e-04   8.775743e-04
religion1Protestant               8.547466e-04      8.480924e-04   1.030764e-03
religion1Other Christian          6.786777e-04      7.214896e-04   8.810583e-04
religion1Jewish                   4.872847e-04      8.637481e-04   5.161767e-04
religion1Muslim - Shia            4.043711e-04      7.223453e-04   6.798520e-04
religion1Muslim - Sunni           2.776258e-04      6.853696e-04   7.646219e-04
religion1Other Muslim             5.644319e-04      6.638144e-04   6.097370e-04
religion1Sikh                     7.232829e-01      7.393200e-04   1.781733e-03
religion1Buddhist                 7.393200e-04      9.673687e-02   7.781616e-04
religion1Hindu                    1.781733e-03      7.781616e-04   2.458285e-01
religion1Atheist                  6.258724e-04      7.444396e-04   7.465852e-04
religion1Non believer / Agnostic  7.059109e-04      7.805782e-04   8.084616e-04
religion1Other                    7.403634e-04      7.314391e-04   8.057682e-04
religion1Refusal                  8.005641e-04      7.021598e-04   6.354474e-04
religion1Don't Know               6.693870e-04      5.668674e-04   9.058980e-04
ideo1                             8.241242e-05      6.210035e-05  -8.548204e-06
                                 religion1Atheist
(Intercept)                         -9.462150e-04
gender                               1.288801e-04
religion1Orthodox Christian          9.177179e-04
religion1Protestant                  1.119604e-03
religion1Other Christian             9.688539e-04
religion1Jewish                      6.945729e-04
religion1Muslim - Shia               7.759079e-04
religion1Muslim - Sunni              8.727778e-04
religion1Other Muslim                8.228972e-04
religion1Sikh                        6.258724e-04
religion1Buddhist                    7.444396e-04
religion1Hindu                       7.465852e-04
religion1Atheist                     4.031699e-03
religion1Non believer / Agnostic     9.551078e-04
religion1Other                       9.357060e-04
religion1Refusal                     7.047063e-04
religion1Don't Know                  8.729307e-04
ideo1                                1.693164e-05
                                 religion1Non believer / Agnostic
(Intercept)                                         -9.406828e-04
gender                                               1.114617e-04
religion1Orthodox Christian                          8.744549e-04
religion1Protestant                                  1.211633e-03
religion1Other Christian                             1.041103e-03
religion1Jewish                                      7.511355e-04
religion1Muslim - Shia                               7.398566e-04
religion1Muslim - Sunni                              8.446907e-04
religion1Other Muslim                                7.544010e-04
religion1Sikh                                        7.059109e-04
religion1Buddhist                                    7.805782e-04
religion1Hindu                                       8.084616e-04
religion1Atheist                                     9.551078e-04
religion1Non believer / Agnostic                     2.798765e-03
religion1Other                                       9.774342e-04
religion1Refusal                                     7.178420e-04
religion1Don't Know                                  9.017578e-04
ideo1                                                4.534408e-06
                                 religion1Other religion1Refusal
(Intercept)                       -8.718306e-04    -8.254390e-04
gender                             4.944152e-05     7.406923e-05
religion1Orthodox Christian        1.060585e-03     1.321858e-03
religion1Protestant                1.212247e-03     8.126069e-04
religion1Other Christian           1.109525e-03     7.930499e-04
religion1Jewish                    7.138305e-04     6.637271e-04
religion1Muslim - Shia             7.308886e-04     7.390844e-04
religion1Muslim - Sunni            8.668834e-04     9.740554e-04
religion1Other Muslim              8.235832e-04     1.102097e-03
religion1Sikh                      7.403634e-04     8.005641e-04
religion1Buddhist                  7.314391e-04     7.021598e-04
religion1Hindu                     8.057682e-04     6.354474e-04
religion1Atheist                   9.357060e-04     7.047063e-04
religion1Non believer / Agnostic   9.774342e-04     7.178420e-04
religion1Other                     5.631722e-03     7.655407e-04
religion1Refusal                   7.655407e-04     1.847421e-02
religion1Don't Know                9.778865e-04     9.673111e-04
ideo1                              4.250482e-06    -1.743321e-04
                                 religion1Don't Know         ideo1
(Intercept)                            -8.988700e-04  2.360831e-05
gender                                  2.772993e-05 -1.842414e-05
religion1Orthodox Christian             1.491992e-03 -2.613116e-06
religion1Protestant                     1.134891e-03  1.674916e-05
religion1Other Christian                1.163182e-03 -6.954685e-06
religion1Jewish                         5.788801e-04  7.121455e-06
religion1Muslim - Shia                  8.022707e-04  1.202809e-05
religion1Muslim - Sunni                 1.139738e-03 -1.353575e-05
religion1Other Muslim                   1.203917e-03 -9.863995e-05
religion1Sikh                           6.693870e-04  8.241242e-05
religion1Buddhist                       5.668674e-04  6.210035e-05
religion1Hindu                          9.058980e-04 -8.548204e-06
religion1Atheist                        8.729307e-04  1.693164e-05
religion1Non believer / Agnostic        9.017578e-04  4.534408e-06
religion1Other                          9.778865e-04  4.250482e-06
religion1Refusal                        9.673111e-04 -1.743321e-04
religion1Don't Know                     3.295298e-02 -1.775422e-04
ideo1                                  -1.775422e-04  2.170567e-04
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 27833.342333 
iter  10 value 25177.738316
iter  20 value 23870.701979
iter  30 value 23350.625075
iter  40 value 23326.324855
final  value 23326.241067 
converged
Call:
multinom(formula = transgender_civil_dc1 ~ gender + religion1 + 
    ideo1, data = final_data)

Coefficients:
           (Intercept)    gender religion1Orthodox Christian
Don't Know  -1.6709347 0.3095677                 -0.02401733
Support     -0.1720069 0.3361466                 -0.68135044
           religion1Protestant religion1Other Christian religion1Jewish
Don't Know           0.4294996              -0.05998712     -0.63533607
Support              0.5583876              -0.08471959     -0.02249039
           religion1Muslim - Shia religion1Muslim - Sunni religion1Other Muslim
Don't Know            -0.21010616               0.6069514             0.3338751
Support               -0.09579507              -0.5713617            -0.2561578
           religion1Sikh religion1Buddhist religion1Hindu religion1Atheist
Don't Know     -8.273438        -1.5326989     -0.2500782        0.1265951
Support        -0.353285         0.4552534     -0.3714088        0.7023675
           religion1Non believer / Agnostic religion1Other religion1Refusal
Don't Know                        0.1186863     -0.1696551        0.5709522
Support                           0.6336038      0.2189612       -0.1917014
           religion1Don't Know       ideo1
Don't Know           0.5214943  0.26023194
Support             -0.1482768 -0.04958076

Std. Errors:
           (Intercept)     gender religion1Orthodox Christian
Don't Know  0.07684032 0.04349680                  0.05721584
Support     0.04911345 0.02827115                  0.04133783
           religion1Protestant religion1Other Christian religion1Jewish
Don't Know          0.07656375               0.11244125       0.6239756
Support             0.04985243               0.07155325       0.3036259
           religion1Muslim - Shia religion1Muslim - Sunni religion1Other Muslim
Don't Know              0.4230258               0.2142769             0.2490527
Support                 0.2474131               0.1898736             0.1970930
           religion1Sikh religion1Buddhist religion1Hindu religion1Atheist
Don't Know  5.644107e-05         1.0302024      0.7875520       0.09841836
Support     8.197789e-01         0.2946973      0.4874635       0.05777727
           religion1Non believer / Agnostic religion1Other religion1Refusal
Don't Know                       0.07682361     0.12099583        0.1620121
Support                          0.04572237     0.06952056        0.1396916
           religion1Don't Know      ideo1
Don't Know           0.2203996 0.01896156
Support              0.1868539 0.01456713

Residual Deviance: 46652.48 
AIC: 46724.48 
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25051.656018 
iter  10 value 22031.532579
iter  20 value 21272.563374
iter  30 value 20989.844830
iter  40 value 20981.902843
iter  50 value 20981.809396
final  value 20981.809048 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25051.656018 
iter  10 value 22032.753082
iter  20 value 21282.491711
iter  30 value 20993.766242
iter  40 value 20983.102092
final  value 20983.098857 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25051.656018 
iter  10 value 22031.533802
iter  20 value 21272.573215
iter  30 value 20989.846440
iter  40 value 20981.904580
final  value 20981.815319 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25049.458794 
iter  10 value 22039.468632
iter  20 value 21330.949687
iter  30 value 21005.221239
iter  40 value 20984.776259
final  value 20984.689714 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25049.458794 
iter  10 value 22040.686671
iter  20 value 21339.977289
iter  30 value 21002.783424
iter  40 value 20985.866574
final  value 20985.865929 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25049.458794 
iter  10 value 22039.469852
iter  20 value 21330.959091
iter  30 value 21005.216686
iter  40 value 20984.777650
final  value 20984.695462 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25050.557406 
iter  10 value 22052.030039
iter  20 value 21373.734052
iter  30 value 21003.464966
iter  40 value 20987.791977
final  value 20987.707935 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25050.557406 
iter  10 value 22053.188883
iter  20 value 21390.231779
iter  30 value 21004.289267
iter  40 value 20989.022346
iter  40 value 20989.022269
iter  40 value 20989.022268
final  value 20989.022268 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25050.557406 
iter  10 value 22052.031201
iter  20 value 21373.750267
iter  30 value 21003.466304
iter  40 value 20987.793627
final  value 20987.714117 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25049.458794 
iter  10 value 22039.073721
iter  20 value 21318.146690
iter  30 value 21001.213065
iter  40 value 20994.939100
iter  50 value 20994.855239
final  value 20994.852973 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25049.458794 
iter  10 value 22040.286074
iter  20 value 21330.385980
iter  30 value 21005.509604
iter  40 value 20997.001678
final  value 20997.001266 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25049.458794 
iter  10 value 22039.074936
iter  20 value 21318.159043
iter  30 value 21001.218732
iter  40 value 20994.945380
final  value 20994.867647 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25049.458794 
iter  10 value 22058.349296
iter  20 value 21320.160393
iter  30 value 21005.759281
iter  40 value 20995.275535
iter  50 value 20995.184944
iter  50 value 20995.184824
iter  50 value 20995.184824
final  value 20995.184824 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25049.458794 
iter  10 value 22059.557255
iter  20 value 21335.330495
iter  30 value 21007.722883
iter  40 value 20996.577078
final  value 20996.575710 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25049.458794 
iter  10 value 22058.350507
iter  20 value 21320.175262
iter  30 value 21005.761053
iter  40 value 20995.277298
final  value 20995.191217 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25049.458794 
iter  10 value 22044.836441
iter  20 value 21338.694473
iter  30 value 21005.396749
iter  40 value 20993.224434
final  value 20993.134055 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25049.458794 
iter  10 value 22045.993208
iter  20 value 21348.019495
iter  30 value 21013.969388
iter  40 value 20994.435912
final  value 20994.430019 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25049.458794 
iter  10 value 22044.837600
iter  20 value 21338.703785
iter  30 value 21005.399357
iter  40 value 20993.226047
final  value 20993.140252 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25048.360182 
iter  10 value 22048.555066
iter  20 value 21313.773041
iter  30 value 21000.668435
iter  40 value 20993.742617
final  value 20993.663953 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25048.360182 
iter  10 value 22049.693771
iter  20 value 21324.118068
iter  30 value 21001.120490
iter  40 value 20994.836153
final  value 20994.835375 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25048.360182 
iter  10 value 22048.556207
iter  20 value 21313.783364
iter  30 value 21000.669139
iter  40 value 20993.744061
final  value 20993.669628 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25048.360182 
iter  10 value 22063.897009
iter  20 value 21298.869985
iter  30 value 21007.359472
iter  40 value 20998.854887
iter  50 value 20998.713192
final  value 20998.712824 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25048.360182 
iter  10 value 22065.035610
iter  20 value 21316.135917
iter  30 value 21007.028855
iter  40 value 21000.000928
final  value 20999.988634 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25048.360182 
iter  10 value 22063.898151
iter  20 value 21298.886695
iter  30 value 21007.358119
iter  40 value 20998.856456
final  value 20998.719072 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25051.656018 
iter  10 value 22056.002482
iter  20 value 21311.613712
iter  30 value 21006.008045
iter  40 value 20994.354957
final  value 20994.270070 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25051.656018 
iter  10 value 22057.185337
iter  20 value 21319.565810
iter  30 value 21008.815664
iter  40 value 20995.566684
final  value 20995.549208 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25051.656018 
iter  10 value 22056.003667
iter  20 value 21311.621550
iter  30 value 21006.009785
iter  40 value 20994.356567
final  value 20994.275946 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25051.656018 
iter  10 value 22054.911513
iter  20 value 21305.160181
iter  30 value 21015.487222
iter  40 value 20994.236956
final  value 20994.157733 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25051.656018 
iter  10 value 22056.198966
iter  20 value 21315.038960
iter  30 value 21012.780651
iter  40 value 20995.574454
final  value 20995.573449 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 25051.656018 
iter  10 value 22054.912804
iter  20 value 21305.169890
iter  30 value 21015.483529
iter  40 value 20994.238790
final  value 20994.164149 
converged
# weights:  57 (36 variable)
initial  value 27833.342333 
iter  10 value 25179.188633
iter  20 value 23862.429353
iter  30 value 23356.529616
iter  40 value 23327.566694
final  value 23327.560597 
converged
Cross-Validated (10 fold) Confusion Matrix 

(entries are percentual average cell counts across resamples)
 
            Reference
Prediction   Oppose Don't Know Support
  Oppose        8.3        2.8     6.1
  Don't Know    0.0        0.0     0.0
  Support      26.5        8.9    47.4
                            
 Accuracy (average) : 0.5571

Call:
lm(formula = transgender_civil_dc ~ gdp + edu_exp_pct + preprim_exp + 
    prim_exp + lose_exp + upse_exp + ter_exp + voc_exp, data = final_data)

Coefficients:
(Intercept)          gdp  edu_exp_pct  preprim_exp     prim_exp     lose_exp  
 -6.449e-01   -4.387e-14   -9.568e-02    2.349e-02   -1.615e-02    3.182e-01  
   upse_exp      ter_exp      voc_exp  
 -6.077e-01    3.122e-01    2.376e-05  

Correlation Matrix

🕹️ Model Comparison

📡 Prediction Models

🏳️‍⚧️ Conclusion

🫠 THANK YOU!

Let’s go for a break now :)